National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa

INDUSTRY VEHICLE SALES, EXPORT AND IMPORT DATA : 1995 - 2010

	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007
	Actuals
CARS
Domestically Produced
Local Sales	233 512	231 616	215 784	174 870	159 944	172 373	172 052	163 474	176 340	200 264	210 976	215 311	169 558
Exports (CBU)	8 976	3 743	10 458	18 342	52 347	58 204	97 599	113 025	114 909	100 699	113 899	119 171	106 460
Total Domestic Production	242 488	235 359	226 242	193 212	212 291	230 577	269 651	276 499	291 249	300 963	324 875	334 482	276 018

CBU Imports
NAAMSA	7 246	18 268	23 978	28 951	29 426	51 749	67 008	68 128	70 919	100 889	165 869	211 501	214 873
Non-NAAMSA	15 059	23 500	28 000	31 000	25 000	10 000	12 500	10 000	11 000	26 500	43 023	54 746	50 222
Total Car Imports	22 305	41 768	51 978	59 951	54 426	61 749	79 508	78 128	81 919	127 389	208 892	266 247	265 095
TOTAL LOCAL CAR MARKET	255 817	273 384	267 762	234 821	214 370	234 122	251 560	241 602	258 259	327 653	419 868	481 558	434 653

LIGHT COMMERCIALS
Domestically Produced
Local Sales	127 363	128 516	113 204	98 056	95 326	104 121	113 111	101 956	102 007	123 467	146 933	159 469	156 626
Exports	6 356	7 125	8 000	6 806	6 581	9 148	10 229	11 699	11 283	9 360	25 589	60 149	64 127
Total Domestic Production	133 719	135 641	121 204	104 862	101 907	113 269	123 340	113 655	113 290	132 827	172 522	219 618	220 753

CBU Imports
NAAMSA	1 034	1 059	1 150	1 022	843	1 114	2 035	2 791	2 877	4 162	13 790	27 195	34 592
Non-NAAMSA	3 000	3 500	3 400	4 100	3 500	3 000	2 500	2 500	2 500	4 776	9 409	13 013	13 168
Total LCV Imports	4 034	4 559	4 550	5 122	4 343	4 114	4 535	5 291	5 377	8 938	23 199	40 208	47 760
TOTAL LOCAL LCV MARKET	131 397	133 075	117 754	103 178	99 669	108 235	117 646	107 247	107 384	132 405	170 132	199 677	204 386

MEDIUM & HEAVY COMMERCIALS

NAAMSA sales (incl. imports)	12 753	14 617	13 759	12 811	11 736	12 275	13 323	14 335	16 957	21 464	27 406	33 080	37 069
Exports	432	685	1 111	748	788	679	465	582	469	448	424	539	650
TOTAL MCV/HCV MARKET	12 753	14 617	13 759	12 811	11 736	12 275	13 323	14 335	16 957	21 464	27 406	33 080	37 069

TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET	399 967	421 076	399 275	350 810	325 775	354 632	382 529	363 184	382 600	481 522	617 406	714 315	676 108

TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS	15 764	11 553	19 569	25 896	59 716	68 031	108 293	125 306	126 661	110 507	139 912	179 859	171 237

TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION	389 392	386 302	362 316	311 633	326 722	356 800	406 779	405 071	421 965	455 702	525 227	587 719	534 490

GDP GROWTH RATE	3,1%	4,3%	2,6%	0,5%	2,4%	4,2%	2,7%	3,7%	3,0%	4,5%	4,9%	5,0%	5,1%

	2008	2009	2010
	Projections
CARS
Domestically Produced
Local Sales	130 000	140 000	145 000
Exports (CBU)	190 000	207 000	210 000
Total Domestic Production	320 000	347 000	355 000

CBU Imports
NAAMSA	165 000	180 000	190 000
Non-NAAMSA	43 000	45 000	50 000
Total Car Imports	208 000	225 000	240 000
TOTAL LOCAL CAR MARKET	338 000	365 000	385 000

LIGHT COMMERCIALS
Domestically Produced
Local Sales	135 000	150 000	165 000
Exports	75 000	80 000	90 000
Total Domestic Production	210 000	230 000	255 000

CBU Imports
NAAMSA	30 000	32 000	36 000
Non-NAAMSA	14 000	16 000	18 000
Total LCV Imports	44 000	48 000	54 000
TOTAL LOCAL LCV MARKET	179 000	198 000	219 000

MEDIUM & HEAVY COMMERCIALS

NAAMSA sales (incl. imports)	39 500	41 300	44 000
Exports	1 000	1 100	1 200
TOTAL MCV/HCV MARKET	39 500	41 300	44 000

TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET	556 500	604 300	648 000

TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS	266 000	288 100	301 200

TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION	570 500	619 400	655 200

GDP GROWTH RATE	3,4%	3,8%	4,4%

Notes:

Domestically produced cars and lcv total represents a proxy for aggregate local production.
Data excludes imported vehicles which have been re-exported.
Information based on data collected by NAAMSA and estimates of non-NAAMSA sales.
GDP growth rate represents GDP annual changes at market prices in real terms.
CBU Export figures are based on projects announced to date. Announcements of new CBU export programmes could change projections.