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INDUSTRY VEHICLE SALES, EXPORT AND IMPORT DATA :  1995 - 2010

  1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
  Actuals Projections
CARS                          
Domestically Produced                          
Local Sales 233 512 231 616 215 784 174 870 159 944 172 373 172 052 163 474 176 340 200 264 210 976 215 311 270 000
Exports (CBU) 8 976 3 743 10 458 18 342 52 347 58 204 97 599 113 025 114 909 100 699 113 899 119 171 110 000
Total Domestic Production             242 488 235 359 226 242 193 212 212 291 230 577 269 651 276 499 291 249 300 963 324 875 334 482 300 000
                           
CBU Imports                          
NAAMSA 7 246 18 268 23 978 28 951 29 426 51 749 67 008 68 128 70 919 100 889 165 869 211 501 210 000
Non-NAAMSA 15 059 23 500 28 000 31 000 25 000 10 000 12 500 10 000 11 000 26 500 43 023 54 746 57 000
Total Car Imports 22 305 41 768 51 978 59 951 54 426 61 749 79 508 78 128 81 919 127 389 208 892 266 247 267 000
                           
TOTAL LOCAL CAR  MARKET 255 817 273 384 267 762 234 821 214 370 234 122 251 560 241 602 258 259 327 651 419 868 481 558 557 000
                           
LIGHT COMMERCIALS
Domestically Produced                          
Local Sales 127 363 128 516 113 204 98 056 95 326 104 121 113 111 101 956 102 007 123 467 146 933 159 469 180 000
Exports 6 356 7 125 8 000 6 806 6 581 9 148 10 229 11 699 11 283 9 360 25 589 60 149 75 000
Total Domestic Production  133 719 135 641 121 204 104 862 101 907 113 269 123 340 113 655 113 290 132 827 172 522 219 618 255 000
                           
CBU Imports                          
NAAMSA 1 034 1 059 1 150 1 022 843 1 114 2 035 2 791 2 877 4 162 13 790 27 195 36 000
Non-NAAMSA 3 000 3 500 3 400 4 100 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 500 2 500 4 776 9 409 13 013 14 000
Total LCV Imports 4 034 4 559 4 550 5 122 4 343 4 114 4 535 5 291 5 377 8 938 23 199 40 208 50 000
                           
TOTAL LOCAL LCV MARKET 131 397 133 075 117 754 103 178 99 669 108 235 117 646 107 247 107 384 132 405 170 132 199 677 230 000
                           
MEDIUM & HEAVY COMMERCIALS                          
NAAMSA sales (incl. imports) 12 753 14 617 13 759 12 811 11 736 12 275 13 323 14 335 16 957 21 464 27 406 33 080 36 500
Exports                                              432 685 1 111 748 788 679 465 582 469 448 424 539 600
                           
TOTAL MCV/HCV MARKET 12 753 14 617 13 759 12 811 11 736 12 275 13 323 14 335 16 957 21 464 27 450 33 080 36 500
                           
TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET 399 967 421 076 399 275 351 510 325 775 354 632 382 529 363 184 382 600 481 520 617 406 714 315 723 500
                           
TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS 15 764 11 553 19 569 25 896 59 716 68 031 108 293 125 306 126 661 110 507 139 912 179 859 185 650
                           
TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION 389 392 386 302 362 316 311 633 326 722 356 800 406 779 405 071 421 965 455 702 525 227 587 719 592 150
                           
GDP GROWTH RATE 3,1% 4,3% 2,6% 0,5% 2,4% 4,4% 2,9% 3,8% 3,2% 4,8% 5,1% 5,0% 4,5%

 

PROJECTIONS 2008 2009 2010
   
CARS      
Domestically Produced      
Local Sales 185 000 195 000 205 000
Exports (CBU) 197 000 205 000 216 000
Total Domestic Production             382 000 400 000 421 000
       
CBU Imports      
NAAMSA 200 000 220 000 250 000
Non-NAAMSA 70 000 75 000 82 000
Total Car Imports 270 000 295 000 332 000
       
TOTAL LOCAL CAR  MARKET 455 000 490 000 537 000
       
LIGHT COMMERCIALS
Domestically Produced      
Local Sales 200 000 220 000 230 000
Exports 80 000 85 000 90 000
Total Domestic Production  280 000 305 000 320 000
       
CBU Imports      
NAAMSA 40 000 45 000 50 000
Non-NAAMSA 16 000 20 000 24 000
Total LCV Imports 56 000 65 000 74 000
       
TOTAL LOCAL LCV MARKET 256 000 285 000 304 000
       
MEDIUM & HEAVY COMMERCIALS      
NAAMSA sales (incl. imports) 40 000 45 000 48 000
Exports                                              700 750 800
       
TOTAL MCV/HCV MARKET 40 000 45 000 48 000
       
TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET 751 000 820 000 889 000
       
TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS 277 700 290 750 306 800
       
TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION 702 700 750 750 789 800
       
GDP GROWTH RATE 4,6% 5.30% 5,8%

             

Notes:

  • Domestically produced cars and lcv total represents a proxy for aggregate local production.

  • Data excludes imported vehicles which have been re-exported.  

  • Information based on data collected by NAAMSA and estimates of non-NAAMSA sales.

  • GDP growth rate represents GDP annual changes at market prices in real terms.

  • CBU Export figures are based on projects announced to date.  Announcements of new CBU         export programmes could change projections.

                                            6th August, 2007

                                            Graphic Representation

                                Passenger Cars      Light Commercials      Medium/Heavy Commercials      Totals

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