|
INDUSTRY VEHICLE SALES,
EXPORT AND IMPORT DATA : 1995 - 2010
|
|
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
|
Actuals
|
Projections
|
CARS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestically Produced
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Sales |
233 512 |
231 616 |
215 784 |
174 870 |
159 944 |
172 373 |
172 052 |
163 474 |
176 340 |
200 264 |
210 976 |
230 000 |
240 000 |
|
Exports
(CBU) |
8 976 |
3 743 |
10 458 |
18 342 |
52 347 |
58 204 |
97 599 |
113 025 |
114 909 |
100 699 |
113 899 |
125 000 |
140 000 |
|
Total Domestic Production |
242 488 |
235 359 |
226 242 |
193 212 |
212 291 |
230 577 |
269 651 |
276 499 |
291 249 |
300 963 |
324 875 |
355 000 |
380 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CBU
Imports
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NAAMSA |
7 246 |
18 268 |
23 978 |
28 951 |
29 426 |
51 749 |
67 008 |
68 128 |
70 919 |
100 889 |
165 869 |
200 000 |
220 000 |
|
Non-NAAMSA |
15 059 |
23 500 |
28 000 |
31 000 |
25 000 |
10 000 |
12 500 |
10 000 |
11 000 |
26 500 |
43 023 |
54 000 |
64 000 |
|
Total Car Imports |
22 305 |
41 768 |
51 978 |
59 951 |
54 426 |
61 749 |
79 508 |
78 128 |
81 919 |
127 389 |
208 892 |
254 000 |
284 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL LOCAL CAR MARKET
|
255 817 |
273 384 |
267 762 |
234 821 |
214 370 |
234 122 |
251 560 |
241 602 |
258 259 |
327 651 |
419 868 |
486 000 |
524 000 |
LIGHT COMMERCIALS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestically Produced
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Sales |
127 363 |
128 516 |
113 204 |
98 056 |
95 326 |
104 121 |
113 111 |
101 956 |
102 007 |
123 467 |
146 933 |
168 000 |
185 000 |
|
Exports |
6 356 |
7 125 |
8 000 |
6 806 |
6 581 |
9 148 |
10 229 |
11 699 |
11 283 |
9 360 |
25 589 |
58 000 |
80 000 |
|
Total Domestic Production |
133 719 |
135 641 |
121 204 |
104 862 |
101 907 |
113 269 |
123 340 |
113 655 |
113 290 |
132 827 |
172 522 |
226 000 |
265 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CBU
Imports
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NAAMSA |
1 034 |
1 059 |
1 150 |
1 022 |
843 |
1 114 |
2 035 |
2 791 |
2 877 |
4 162 |
13 790 |
16 000 |
18 000 |
|
Non-NAAMSA |
3 000 |
3 500 |
3 400 |
4 100 |
3 500 |
3 000 |
2 500 |
2 500 |
2 500 |
4 776 |
9 409 |
13 500 |
16 000 |
Total LCV Imports
|
4 034 |
4 559 |
4 550 |
5 122 |
4 343 |
4 114 |
4 535 |
5 291 |
5 377 |
8 938 |
23 199 |
29 500 |
34 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL LOCAL LCV MARKET
|
131 397 |
133 075 |
117 754 |
103 178 |
99 669 |
108 235 |
117 646 |
107 247 |
107 384 |
132 405 |
170 132 |
197 500 |
219 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MEDIUM & HEAVY COMMERCIALS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NAAMSA sales (incl. imports) |
12 753 |
14 617 |
13 759 |
12 811 |
11 736 |
12 275 |
13 323 |
14 335 |
16 957 |
21 464 |
27 450 |
33 000 |
36 500 |
|
Exports |
432 |
685 |
1 111 |
748 |
788 |
679 |
465 |
582 |
469 |
448 |
424 |
470 |
500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL MCV/HCV MARKET
|
12 753 |
14 617 |
13 759 |
12 811 |
11 736 |
12 275 |
13 323 |
14 335 |
16 957 |
21 464 |
27 450 |
33 000 |
36 500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET |
399 967 |
421 076 |
399 275 |
351 510 |
325 775 |
354 632 |
382 529 |
363 184 |
382 600 |
481 520 |
617 450 |
714 500 |
779 500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS
|
15 764 |
11 553 |
19 569 |
25 896 |
59 716 |
68 031 |
108 293 |
125 306 |
126 661 |
110 507 |
139 912 |
183 470 |
220 500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
|
389 392 |
386 302 |
362 316 |
311 633 |
326 722 |
356 800 |
406 779 |
405 071 |
421 965 |
455 702 |
525 271 |
614 470 |
682 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP GROWTH RATE |
3,1% |
4,3% |
2,6% |
0,5% |
2,4% |
4,2% |
2,7% |
3,7% |
3,0% |
4,5% |
4,9% |
4,5% |
4,1% |
|
PROJECTIONS |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
|
Projections |
CARS
|
|
|
|
Domestically Produced
|
|
|
|
|
Local
Sales |
265 000 |
275 000 |
280 000 |
|
Exports
(CBU) |
155 000 |
165 000 |
180 000 |
|
Total
Domestic Production
|
420 000 |
440 000 |
460 000 |
|
|
|
|
CBU
Imports
|
|
|
|
|
NAAMSA |
230 000 |
240 000 |
250 000 |
|
Non-NAAMSA |
70 000 |
75 000 |
82 000 |
|
Total
Car Imports |
300 000 |
315 000 |
332 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL LOCAL CAR MARKET
|
565 000 |
590 000 |
612 000 |
LIGHT COMMERCIALS
|
|
|
|
Domestically Produced
|
|
|
|
|
Local
Sales |
200 000 |
210 000 |
220 000 |
|
Exports |
80 000 |
85 000 |
90 000 |
|
Total Domestic Production |
280 000 |
295 000 |
310 000 |
|
|
|
|
CBU
Imports
|
|
|
|
|
NAAMSA |
20 000 |
25 000 |
30 000 |
|
Non-NAAMSA |
18 500 |
21 000 |
24 000 |
Total
LCV Imports
|
38 500 |
46 000 |
54 000 |
|
|
|
|
TOTAL
LOCAL LCV MARKET
|
238 500 |
256 000 |
274 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
MEDIUM & HEAVY
COMMERCIALS
|
|
|
|
|
NAAMSA
sales (incl. imports) |
40 000 |
44 000 |
47 000 |
|
Exports
|
600 |
650 |
700 |
|
|
|
|
TOTAL
MCV/HCV MARKET
|
40 000 |
44 000 |
47 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET |
843 500 |
890 000 |
933 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS
|
235 600 |
250 650 |
270 700 |
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL DOMESTIC
PRODUCTION
|
740 000 |
779 000 |
817 000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP
GROWTH RATE |
4.6% |
5.3% |
5.8% |
|
Notes: |
-
Domestically produced cars and lcv total
represents a proxy for aggregate local production.
-
Data excludes imported vehicles which have
been re-exported.
-
Information based on data collected by
NAAMSA and estimates of non-NAAMSA sales.
-
GDP growth rate represents GDP annual
changes at market prices in real terms.
-
CBU Export
figures are based on projects announced to date.
Announcements of new CBU
export programmes could change projections.
|
11th August, 2006
Graphic Representation
Passenger Cars
Light
Commercials
Medium/Heavy Commercials
Totals
Back to http://www.naamsa.co.za/papers/2006_3rdquarter/
|
