INDUSTRY VEHICLE SALES, EXPORT AND IMPORT DATA :  1995 - 2010

 

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

 

Actuals

Projections

CARS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Domestically Produced

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Local Sales

233 512

231 616

215 784

174 870

159 944

172 373

172 052

163 474

176 340

200 264

210 976

230 000

240 000

Exports (CBU)

8 976

3 743

10 458

18 342

52 347

58 204

97 599

113 025

114 909

100 699

113 899

135 000

150 000

Total Domestic Production           

242 488

235 359

226 242

193 212

212 291

230 577

269 651

276 499

291 249

300 963

324 875

365 000

390 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CBU Imports

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NAAMSA

7 246

18 268

23 978

28 951

29 426

51 749

67 008

68 128

70 919

100 889

165 869

190 000

205 000

Non-NAAMSA

15 059

23 500

28 000

31 000

25 000

10 000

12 500

10 000

11 000

26 500

43 023

60 000

70 000

Total Car Imports

22 305

41 768

51 978

59 951

54 426

61 749

79 508

78 128

81 919

127 389

208 892

250 000

275 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL LOCAL CAR  MARKET

255 817

273 384

267 762

234 821

214 370

234 122

251 560

241 602

258 259

327 651

419 868

480 000

515 000

 

LIGHT COMMERCIALS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Domestically Produced

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Local Sales

127 363

128 516

113 204

98 056

95 326

104 121

113 111

101 956

102 007

123 467

146 933

165 000

175 000

Exports

6 356

7 125

8 000

6 806

6 581

9 148

10 229

11 699

11 283

9 360

25 589

60 000

75 000

Total Domestic Production

133 719

135 641

121 204

104 862

101 907

113 269

123 340

113 655

113 290

132 827

172 522

225 000

250 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CBU Imports

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NAAMSA

1 034

1 059

1 150

1 022

843

1 114

2 035

2 791

2 877

4 162

13 790

15 000

18 000

Non-NAAMSA

3 000

3 500

3 400

4 100

3 500

3 000

2 500

2 500

2 500

4 776

9 409

15 000

25 000

Total LCV Imports

4 034

4 559

4 550

5 122

4 343

4 114

4 535

5 291

5 377

8 938

23 199

30 000

43 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL LOCAL LCV MARKET

131 397

133 075

117 754

103 178

99 669

108 235

117 646

107 247

107 384

132 405

170 132

195 000

218 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MEDIUM & HEAVY COMMERCIALS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NAAMSA sales (incl. imports)

12 753

14 617

13 759

12 811

11 736

12 275

13 323

14 335

16 957

21 464

27 450

31 500

33 000

Exports                                            

432

685

1 111

748

788

679

465

582

469

448

424

400

450

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL MCV/HCV MARKET

12 753

14 617

13 759

12 811

11 736

12 275

13 323

14 335

16 957

21 464

27 450

31 500

33 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET

399 967

421 076

399 275

351 510

325 775

354 632

382 529

363 184

382 600

481 520

617 450

706 500

766 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS

15 764

11 553

19 569

25 896

59 716

68 031

108 293

125 306

126 661

110 507

139 912

195 400

225 450

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION

389 392

386 302

362 316

311 633

326 722

356 800

406 779

405 071

421 965

455 702

525 271

621 900

673 450

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP GROWTH RATE

3,1%

4,3%

2,6%

0,5%

2,4%

4,2%

2,7%

3,7%

3,0%

4,5%

4,9%

4,5%

4,6%



PROJECTIONS

2008

2009

2010

 

Projections

CARS

 

 

 

Domestically Produced

 

 

 

Local Sales

265 000

275 000

280 000

Exports (CBU)

155 000

165 000

180 000

Total Domestic Production           

420 000

440 000

460 000

 

 

 

 

CBU Imports

 

 

 

NAAMSA

207 500

210 000

220 000

Non-NAAMSA

75 000

85 000

100 000

Total Car Imports

282 500

295 000

320 000

 

 

 

 

TOTAL LOCAL CAR  MARKET

547 500

570 000

600 000

 

LIGHT COMMERCIALS

 

 

 

Domestically Produced

 

 

 

Local Sales

180 000

185 000

190 000

Exports

80 000

85 000

90 000

Total Domestic Production

260 000

270 000

280 000

 

 

 

 

CBU Imports

 

 

 

NAAMSA

20 000

25 000

30 000

Non-NAAMSA

27 500

30 000

35 000

Total LCV Imports

47 500

55 000

65 000

 

 

 

 

TOTAL LOCAL LCV MARKET

227 500

240 000

255 000

 

 

 

 

MEDIUM & HEAVY COMMERCIALS

 

 

 

NAAMSA sales (incl. imports)

35 000

37 500

40 000

Exports                                            

600

650

700

 

 

 

 

TOTAL MCV/HCV MARKET

35 000

37 500

40 000

 

 

 

 

TOTAL AGGREGATE MARKET

810 000

847 500

895 000

 

 

 

 

TOTAL AGGREGATE EXPORTS

235 600

250 650

270 700

 

 

 

 

TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION

715 600

748 150

780 700

 

 

 

 

GDP GROWTH RATE

5.0%

5.0%

6.0%

             

Notes:

  • Domestically produced cars and lcv total represents a proxy for aggregate local production.

  • Data excludes imported vehicles which have been re-exported.  

  • Information based on data collected by NAAMSA and estimates of non-NAAMSA sales.

  • GDP growth rate represents GDP annual changes at market prices in real terms.

  • CBU Export figures are based on projects announced to date.  Announcements of new CBU         export programmes could change projections.

                                            11th August, 2006

                                            Graphic Representation

                                Passenger Cars      Light Commercials      Medium/Heavy Commercials      Totals

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